Gabriel Elefteriu

View of street filled with destroyed Russian military vehicles

Insufficient Destruction is Why No One Wins Wars Anymore

“War is Hell”, William Tecumseh Sherman said in 1879, looking back on his years campaigning against the Confederacy during America’s Civil War. Sherman, that most notorious of Union generals, already knew in the second half of the 19th century just how much brutality and effort it takes to subdue a peer […]

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Western Tech May have Beaten Iran’s Air Attack, but Greater Challenges are to Come

It was the largest combined drone and missile attack in world history. On Sunday Iran launched a huge air strike package of roughly 320 munitions against Israel, consisting of some 170 drones, 120 intermediate-range ballistic missiles and 30 cruise missiles. It was twice as big as the biggest single Russian air raid

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Macron’s Folly: Sending Troops to Ukraine Is a Very Bad Idea, from the Wrong Person, at the Wrong Time

At a time when Ukraine desperately needs practical deliveries of weapons and ammunition to help sustain its defence against advancing Russian forces, president Macron has seen fit to distract from this priority by raising the spectre of a potential future deployment of European troops into Ukraine. It appears that Macron is trying

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The Welcome but Feeble Yemen Strikes Show that Half-Measures Don’t Work Anymore

The 11/12 January joint US-UK bombardment of rebel Houthi positions in the Yemen was extremely welcome despite its glaring shortcomings. As was observed in these pages just hours before the joint US and UK operation, “refraining from striking the Houthis” had become “simply irresponsible” by that point. The Iran-backed Ansar Allah jihadis had been

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The Red Sea crisis: Britain and the United States are right to launch strikes against the Houthis

The disgraceful spectacle on display in the Red Sea, courtesy of Houthi impudence and Western “restraint”, is not just an outrage. It is also a fascinating microcosm of some of the fundamental dilemmas and contradictions facing so-called free and open nations in an age of growing global chaos. For two

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Kampfpanzer Leopard 2 A5 bei einer Lehr- und Gefechtsvorführung.

Predictions for 2024: Brace for Geo-Strategic Impact.

History is not just on the move again, it is at a gallop. Since the seismic political shocks of 2014-2016, we have become desensitised to the regular occurrence of epochal events that, in other times, would have prompted deep debates and soul-searching across society – let alone serious solutions from

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The West Can Still Get Things Done: The Ramp-up in Allied Ammo Production Is a Reminder of Our Inherent Strength

There is no hiding the fact that across key Western nations the mood is darkening in relation to the Ukraine war. Kyiv’s counter-offensive, which transfixed the world’s attention throughout most of this year, is now widely seen as a costly failure. When the Ukrainian army began its much-anticipated push back

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The fictional sixth-generation Darkstar, as seen in Top Gun: Maverick. While this is not a real program (as far as we know), China positioned satellites above filming locations in order to capture data on it.

The West’s Geopolitical Situation is Deteriorating: Five Scenarios for the Next Decade

In a world of war, we must recalibrate our grand-strategic thinking. Here are five geopolitical scenarios for what could happen in the coming years It is beyond doubt that the “rules based international order” chapter of History is coming to a close, removing from the real world many of the traditional assumptions

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Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi (right) greets his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in Tehran on Tuesday

Israel, Poland and the Week when Europe’s Fate Hangs in the Balance

In the cascade of epochal events that have battered the foundations of our post-Cold War world in recent years, the phrase “turning point” has become cliché. From Putin’s snatching of Crimea in 2014 to Obama’s near-criminal Iran deal in 2015, ISIS and the Syrian butchery, Brexit and Trump, China’s rise

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Vietnam War 1969 - Paris Peace Talks

An Enduring Peace Without Victory in Ukraine: What It Might Look Like

With the war now past its one-and-a-half year mark and no decisive Russian military defeat or political surrender in sight, the public conversation should start reflecting a bit more on the possible role for diplomacy in the months – and perhaps years – ahead. The difficulties on the road to

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