Turan Research Center

Articles, reports, analysis, upcoming events, and media appearances by the Turan Research Center fellows.

Armenia’s Bet on the Trump Route

In the thirteen months since Nikol Pashinyan signed a peace declaration at the White House, the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity or TRIPP has bought Yerevan a comprehensive strategic partnership with Washington, a civil nuclear framework, American weapons, a founding seat at a Trump-branded international body and a

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Why Central Asia Needs a European Georgia

Since early June, Georgia and Central Asia have seen an unprecedented level of senior political engagement. In a remarkably short period, Georgia’s Prime Minister has met the leaders of all five Central Asian republics, and Georgia has signed strategic partnership agreements with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. Much of this activity is

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The Stability Test: Kyrgyzstan’s Global Spotlight and the Crisis Behind It

Illustration by Dinmukhamed Kairulla. Kyrgyzstan stages the SCO summit and the World Nomad Games in the same week that it manages a fuel crisis partly of its own making — the first real test of the system that emerged after the Japarov–Tashiev tandem broke apart. Over the week beginning 31

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Pakistan Is Hedging in Afghanistan. India Has Stopped

Illustration by Dinmukhamed Kairulla. Five years after the Taliban returned to power, Afghanistan looks increasingly different from the country Pakistan expected to emerge in 2021. The Taliban remains firmly in control, but its relationship with Islamabad has deteriorated into something much more serious than a dispute over the border or

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A Dastan of Saida and Komil: How a Family Feud Became Constitutional Law

On August 14, 2026, Shavkat Mirziyoyev signed a constitutional law giving Uzbekistan’s Presidential Administration a statutory identity for the first time. The text reads as administrative housekeeping. It is better understood as the peace treaty that ended a war inside the president’s own family — and as the instrument that

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Rerouting Is Not Diversification: Central Asia and Iran After the 2026 War

Illustration by Dinmukhamed Kairulla. A Recalibration Already Under Way Central Asian governments began repricing Iran before they said so. Within weeks of the opening of the American and Israeli strike campaign in February 2026, Uzbekistan, which moved a large share of its European and Turkish transit through Iranian territory, instructed

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Explaining Russia’s Cautious Turn to Afghanistan

Though Afghanistan was never a primary focus for Moscow, the country’s profile has grown in importance for Russia following the return of the Taliban to power in 2021. The rapprochement between the two began as soon as US troops left. Initially characterized by cautious engagement, the bilateral ties settled into

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How the Soviet State Built the Islam It Feared: Religion, Control, and the Roots of Radicalism in Uzbekistan

The standard account blames post-Soviet Uzbekistan’s religious conservatism and radicalization on external forces — Gulf money, imported ideology, the collapse of the Soviet order. That account is incomplete. Today’s radicalism cannot be explained by the Soviet past alone, but that past matters and is worth naming. The Soviet state did

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Turkey and the Middle Corridor: The Limits of Ankara’s Best Instrument in Central Asia

Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, sanctions, political risk, and logistical disruption have pushed governments and shippers to look for routes to Europe that do not cross Russian territory. The chief beneficiary has been the Middle Corridor—the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR)—which runs from China through Kazakhstan, across the Caspian,

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How Kazakhstan Won Trump’s Washington

  Illustration by Dinmukhamed Kairulla. How Astana went from a handshake at the United Nations to the front of the line in Trump’s Washington — and why the rest of Central Asia stands to gain from it On July 10, Donald Trump and Kassym-Jomart Tokayev spoke by phone. The Kazakh

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