US President Joe Biden’s administration appears keen on rejoining the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the Barack Obama administration’s so-called “Iran deal” that notionally guaranteed Iran would not produce nuclear weapons. A deal remains unlikely. Nevertheless, the very fact that the Biden administration has doggedly pursued the chimerical agreement for …
A pivotal issue in Ukraine’s defense is the West’s—and the U.S.’ in particular—ability to provide weapons and ammunition swiftly enough to defeat Russia. As Western arms shipments continue, the Ukrainian military will become more capable. Several thousand Ukrainians are now training in the UK and Eastern European NATO states, learning …
As the Russo-Ukrainian war grinds into its sixth full month, we must reckon with strategic reality. Russia is losing ground, and its strategic position will only deteriorate in coming months; further military reversals will intensify its strategic quandary. Three possibilities exist — revolution, a palace coup, or horizontal escalation — and …
Putin Can’t Control His Ukraine Cataclysm — and the US Must Get Ready Continue Reading >>
While estimates differ, Russia has lost around 1,000 tanks in Ukraine since its invasion on February 24, according to the Oryx database. There are no reliable figures on how many tanks the Ukrainians have lost, but it would be significantly fewer because they have been used in more limited ways during the …
Does Ukraine Herald End of Tank Warfare? Not Yet Continue Reading >>
Russian troops today occupy Kherson and have carried out some limited assaults on Odesa. The Russian army occupies most of the territory from Kherson and due east, including Mariupol. While Russia has said little about its long-term intentions, there is a growing awareness that Russia wants to consolidate the cities and towns, …
Ukraine War: The Crucial Coming Fight for Kherson Continue Reading >>
Upheaval in Sri Lanka and spiking global energy prices are the result of Russia’s new strategy in Ukraine. By causing international shocks, Russia hopes to overawe the West once again, both presenting it the prospect of a winter energy shortage and stoking crises in the developing world. The West should …
Russia’s New War Strategy: Destroy the Global Economy Continue Reading >>
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has triggered a NATO renaissance, at least rhetorically. It appears rejuvenated, robust, and capable of confronting Russia in the long-term. Nevertheless, the Ukraine War has merely obfuscated severe political fissures within NATO. Ironically, they are the inverse of the difficulties NATO faced in the early …
Chinese leader Xi Jinping, like many people, may have been surprised by Russia’s failure to conquer Ukraine in a matter of days – owing in large measure to unexpectedly fierce Ukrainian resistance. In addition, the Americans and the Europeans – even the Germans – imposing wide-ranging economic and financial sanctions …
Xi Jinping Might Think He Can Handle His Own ‘Ukraine’ Continue Reading >>
The Biden administration has announced that Ukraine will receive the National/Norwegian Advanced Surface to Air Missile System (NASAMS) to shore up Ukraine’s air defenses, which are being systematically destroyed by Russia. The NASAMS is the same system that protects the air space around the White House in the United States. There is no word yet from Ukraine where NASAMS will …
US Air Defense System Delivery Hopes to Save Kiev Continue Reading >>
The Fall of Snake Island is an Inflection Point in the Ukraine War Perception and reality are difficult to untangle in any conflict. But the Ukraine War is the first great power conflict waged fully in the Information Age. Both parties have sought to influence global narratives and manipulate international …
With a Whimper – The Fall of Snake Island Continue Reading >>
