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US-Made Parts Keep Russia’s Artillery Firing in Ukraine

As the US prepares to deliver its HIMARS mobile precision rocket system to Ukraine, the latest bid to fortify its forces with advanced war-fighting equipment against Russia’s offensive push, few have noticed how much Russia’s artillery systems rely on US and Western-made electronic parts and components. So while Ukraine is receiving highly …

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Erdogan addresses UN

The Turkish Question on NATO: A larger strategic opportunity in the Black Sea

Swedish and Finnish NATO membership would be a strategic gain for the Atlantic Alliance and the United States, both to counter Russian aggression and to ensure a united front on Eurasian policy. However, there is dissent within NATO about whether Sweden and Finland should be accepted, with Turkish President Recep …

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Russia's ERA cryptophone system

The Fatal Failure of Russia’s ERA Cyptophone System

Russia’s military-secure ERA cryptophone system has failed in the Ukraine war, raising crucial questions about why Moscow committed to a system that was so badly flawed from the start. Cell phones have played an outsized role in the Ukraine war. In particular, they have been used to geolocate sensitive military …

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Russian s-350

Technical Fixation

The Russian invasion of Ukraine demonstrates the relevance of air defenses in modern high-end combat. Indeed, the United States should take warning, and recognize the danger cruise missiles, whether traditional or hypersonic, pose to its positions in the Indo-Pacific and the U.S. homeland. Ballistic missiles dominate headlines, but cruise missiles …

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Russian black sea fleet exercise

War at Sea is Critical to Ukraine’s Survival against Russia

Public focus on the Russo-Ukrainian war remains fixated on the conflict’s ground operations. This is reasonable, considering the frightening images of Russian airstrikes throughout Ukraine, Russian brutality in Bucha, Mariupol and elsewhere, and the developing battle for the Donbas region. However, the long-term strategic situation suggests that the naval balance will decide the …

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Vladimir Putin at victory parade

In Ukraine, West should Expect Extended Confrontation

As the Russo-Ukrainian War grinds into its third month, the full scope of Vladimir Putin’s failure has emerged. His initial strategy, a lightning strike on Kyiv that would destroy the Ukrainian state, failed. His second strategy, a grinding assault on the capital, also miscarried. His third strategy, a refocus on the Donbas, currently …

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P-8A flying over the ocean with warship below

The Mystery of the Moskva and Makarov

The Russian cruiser Moskva was attacked in the Black Sea on April 13th. There are unconfirmed reports also that the Russian frigate Admiral Makarov was attacked on May 6th.  As details emerge, four important questions arise: First, were these vessels, equipped with supposedly excellent air defense systems, caught by surprise …

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Wreckage from explosion in Transnistria

The Next Target

Explosions in the Russian-aligned breakaway region of Transnistria have raised the threat of a broader war. While Russia’s limited strength and difficulties in Ukraine make an invasion of Moldova unlikely, it is important to see that in the long-term, Russia clearly hopes to expand from Ukraine, subjugate Moldova, and pressure …

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Firing of Russian thermobaric MLRS

Two Truisms About the US & Russia, Ukraine and China

Russia is not as strong as the United States, except for nuclear weapons. Russia is not the main threat to the United States—that threat is China. Back in 1985, during his visit to Paris, Mikhail Gorbachev told French President Francois Mitterrand that the Soviet Union was not strong. In fact, …

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