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Ukraine Explained, Taiwan Explained with Dr Stephen Bryen

Yorktown Senior Fellow Stephen Bryen recently appeared on CPAC with Bill Walton to discuss possible outcomes of the war in Ukraine, China’s lockdown of Shanghai, the lessons of Russia’s struggles for a possible war in the Pacific, and the steps the US can take to stop an invasion of Taiwan.

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Russian s-350

Technical Fixation

The Russian invasion of Ukraine demonstrates the relevance of air defenses in modern high-end combat. Indeed, the United States should take warning, and recognize the danger cruise missiles, whether traditional or hypersonic, pose to its positions in the Indo-Pacific and the U.S. homeland. Ballistic missiles dominate headlines, but cruise missiles

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Russian black sea fleet exercise

War at Sea is Critical to Ukraine’s Survival against Russia

Public focus on the Russo-Ukrainian war remains fixated on the conflict’s ground operations. This is reasonable, considering the frightening images of Russian airstrikes throughout Ukraine, Russian brutality in Bucha, Mariupol and elsewhere, and the developing battle for the Donbas region. However, the long-term strategic situation suggests that the naval balance will decide the

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Vladimir Putin at victory parade

In Ukraine, West should Expect Extended Confrontation

As the Russo-Ukrainian War grinds into its third month, the full scope of Vladimir Putin’s failure has emerged. His initial strategy, a lightning strike on Kyiv that would destroy the Ukrainian state, failed. His second strategy, a grinding assault on the capital, also miscarried. His third strategy, a refocus on the Donbas, currently

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P-8A flying over the ocean with warship below

The Mystery of the Moskva and Makarov

The Russian cruiser Moskva was attacked in the Black Sea on April 13th. There are unconfirmed reports also that the Russian frigate Admiral Makarov was attacked on May 6th.  As details emerge, four important questions arise: First, were these vessels, equipped with supposedly excellent air defense systems, caught by surprise

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Wreckage from explosion in Transnistria

The Next Target

Explosions in the Russian-aligned breakaway region of Transnistria have raised the threat of a broader war. While Russia’s limited strength and difficulties in Ukraine make an invasion of Moldova unlikely, it is important to see that in the long-term, Russia clearly hopes to expand from Ukraine, subjugate Moldova, and pressure

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Firing of Russian thermobaric MLRS

Two Truisms About the US & Russia, Ukraine and China

Russia is not as strong as the United States, except for nuclear weapons. Russia is not the main threat to the United States—that threat is China. Back in 1985, during his visit to Paris, Mikhail Gorbachev told French President Francois Mitterrand that the Soviet Union was not strong. In fact,

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Test firing of a Russian Yars ICBM

US on Brink of Recklessness in Ukraine

NBC has reported that the US provided targeting intelligence enabling the Ukrainians to shoot down a Russian troop transport over Kiev, killing over 100 Russian soldiers onboard. This is certainly not the only example of the so-called intelligence partnership between the US and Ukraine. It is part and parcel of an intense US

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Test firing of the Russian Sarmat ICBM

The U.S. Should Show It Can Win a Nuclear War

Russia conducted its first test of the Sarmat, an intercontinental ballistic missile that carries a heavy nuclear payload, on April 20. Vladimir Putin and his advisers have issued nuclear warnings throughout the war in Ukraine, threatening the U.S. and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization with attack if they escalate their involvement. Moscow recently threatened Sweden

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Putin speaking at press conference

Can the US and its Allies Accept a Putin-led Russia?

The United States has pursued a two-track approach in Ukraine. While NATO refrains from active intervention, it has escalated rhetorically, most notably with President Biden’s supposed gaffe that Russian President Vladimir Putin “cannot remain in power.” In turn, the White House has branded Putin a war criminal — and now génocidaire — with Biden also

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