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Destruction in Kyiv

Israel’s Strategic Interest in Ukraine Is Changing Because of Iran

Despite frequent appeals and complaints from Ukrainian leaders, Israel has refused requests to provide weapons to Ukraine. Ukraine is now suffering barrages of cruise missiles and suicide drones hitting targets across Ukraine, weapons that are destroying Ukraine’s critical infrastructure. Israel knows and is deeply concerned that Iran is allegedly supplying …

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Xi's speech at 20th Party Congress

Off-Ramps for China? Sorry, That Ship has Sailed

Speaking to Democratic Party donors in early October, President Joe Biden said, ‘I’m trying to figure out what is Putin’s off-ramp. Where does he find a way out? Where does he find himself in a position that he does not – not only lose face but lose significant power within …

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Firing of Russian thermobaric MLRS

Russia’s ‘Dirty Bomb’ Claim Lights the Nuclear Fuse

Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu called his counterparts in the US, UK, France and Turkey on Sunday to warn that Ukraine could be preparing to use a “dirty bomb.” Is Shoigu also warning that the Russian army might be pushed into using nuclear weapons? A dirty bomb is commonly understood as a conventional …

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Chinese naval formation

Brace for Impact: the Coming War over Taiwan

The United States, after months of war, is finally standing up a command specifically designed to assist Ukraine. This formalizes the ad hoc efforts President Joe Biden’s administration and America’s allies have conducted since the Russian invasion began. Through a stroke of luck, American recalcitrance and Washington’s typically glacial reaction time did not …

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North Korea Missile Launch

North Korean Missiles—Keeping the US and Its Allies Distracted and Worried

This has been a busy year for North Korea’s missile developers—having launched 25 missiles (both ballistic and cruise missiles). The “shots” typically land in the ocean east of the Korean Peninsula but short of Japanese maritime territory. However, on Oct. 4, North Korea launched a ballistic missile that passed over northern Japan—prompting the …

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Crimean canal dam blown by occupying Russian forces

The Crimea Question

Russia’s Black Sea position has Eurasian strategic significance because the Ukraine War is a Eurasian War, not a European one. As the balance shifts against Russia, escalation becomes more probable, and as the Indo-Pacific balance of forces shifts, U.S. policymakers must consider the facts. Ejecting Russia from Crimea should be …

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Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III stands with Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi prior to a bilateral meeting at the Pentagon, Washington, D.C., May 4, 2022.

The Best Advice Washington Ever Got on US-Japan Defense

It’s exhilarating that Japanese leaders are talking about spending much more on defense and improving the nation’s defense capabilities. But they are short on specifics, and with communist China out looking for a fight, it’s dangerous to hope Japan figures things out at its own pace. The Americans, who shoulder the heaviest load in defending the …

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Who Gains Most from Nord Stream Sabotage?

The US has long opposed NATO’s (especially Germany’s) dependence on Russian, formerly Soviet, natural gas. The United States, in fact, used export controls to block the original Yamal pipeline in the 1980s, believing the threat of a Russian cutoff would alter Europe’s political decisions. As recently as 2018, then-president Donald Trump …

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