Russia

Destroyed Russian Tank in Ukraine

Ukraine War’s Outlook in 2023: Harder Fighting Against a Tougher Russian Army

All sides’ strategic incentives in the Ukraine War point toward continued conflict in 2023. The war’s settlement will emerge from the battlefield, not primarily from negotiations. Russia, meanwhile, is planning another offensive to solidify its territorial position and prepare for another year of war. Every weapon that the West refrains …

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Biden can Exploit a Russia-China Split to Hurt Iran and Help our Mideast Strategy

With news that Iran will construct a drone factory in Tatarstan to supply Russia more effectively, it is abundantly clear that Tehran views itself as a Eurasian power. Meanwhile, China is hedging, engaging with the Gulf Arabs and publicly avoiding direct links with Iran. The U.S. should manipulate this situation to its benefit, while …

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221129-N-YS413-2117 SPRATLEY ISLANDS, South China Sea (Nov. 29, 2022) Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser USS Chancellorsville (CG 62) conducts routine underway operations in the South China Sea, Nov. 29. Chancellorsville is forward-deployed to the U.S. 7th Fleet area of operations in support of a free and open Indo-Pacific. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Justin Stack)

Global Naval War

The United States faces the possibility of a global naval war around the Eurasian landmass. This is regardless of the Ukraine War’s outcome. Indeed, the perception of weakness and capacity limitations is a powerful incentive for hostile states to probe American capabilities and initiate a broader conflict. The current geopolitical …

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Stinger

Windfalls Await Investors in Ammunition

In the now classic 1967 film The Graduate, protagonist Benjamin Braddock, being feted with a graduation party, is pulled aside by a friend of his parents. Mr Maguire says he has only one word for Ben: “plastics.” Then, using more words, Maguire tells Ben, “There’s a great future in plastics.” Today it looks more and …

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Ieva Ilves

The View from the Baltics: A Conversation with Ieva Ilves, Former First Lady of Estonia

  Ieva Ilves is a cybersecurity expert and diplomat who currently serves as a digital policy advisor to Latvian President Egils Levits. She was the First Lady of Estonia during the presidency of her husband, Toomas Hendrik Ilves, who served until 2016. A native of Latvia, she served as the …

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Ukraine_War_Casualty_Figures_Graveyard

Ukrainian Military Casualties are Big Trouble for Biden

In a shocking statement that has now been withdrawn, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen wrote that Ukraine has lost 100,000 soldiers and 20,000 civilians in the Ukraine war. This conforms to comments made by US Joint Chief of Staff head General Mark Milley, who in a speech at a conference hosted by New York’s …

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Dnieper from Friendship of Nations Monument

The Naval War

Ukraine’s victory in Kherson Oblast has confirmed the centrality of sea access in the war with Russia. As Ukraine plans its next move, and Russia responds to Ukraine’s advances, Western policymakers must prioritize Ukraine’s victory at sea, and ensure that Kyiv has the tools it requires to break Russian sea …

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Iran_Shahed136_Drone_Drones

Iran’s Suicide Drones a Grave New Threat at Sea

An oil tanker owned by an Israeli billionaire was hit by a suicide drone off the coast of Oman on November 15. Israeli government experts believe the drone that struck the tanker was an Iranian Shahed-136 and suspicion immediately fell on Tehran as the likely perpetrator. Initial reports say no one was …

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T-72

The Retreat from Kherson

Russia’s announced withdrawal from Kherson has initiated a new phase of the war. Out of it come several considerations. Operationally, Ukraine has an opportunity to press retreating Russian forces and destroy them. Strategically, Ukraine must now consider its next offensive steps. And politically, the US and its allies cannot mistake …

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